Australia's Housing Downturn: Grab a Marshmallow or a Fire Blanket?

From The Orchard View · 08:05

Show by Kevin Orchard

Australia's property market is experiencing a significant downturn, with falling values, weaker sales and buyers becoming increasingly reluctant to jump into the market. But does a sharp correction automatically mean we're heading towards a housing crisis? In this episode, I look at the latest Cotality figures, including seven consecutive monthly declines in national dwelling values and the remarkably fast pace of the current downturn compared with previous market corrections. We explore the apparent contradiction between falling property prices and Australia's ongoing housing shortage, why affordability and borrowing capacity are weighing on buyers, and how sellers are beginning to adjust their expectations. I also look at the distinction between falling property values and genuine mortgage stress. While some households are undoubtedly under pressure, the latest Reserve Bank figures provide a more measured picture of overall borrower resilience. So, is the housing market actually on fire, or are we witnessing a necessary market correction? Perhaps grab a few marshmallows, but keep the fire blanket somewhere close. In this episode: How quickly Australian property values are falling Why housing shortages aren't necessarily supporting prices Buyers, sellers and the changing balance of negotiating power Mortgage stress and what the RBA's figures actually tell us What to watch as we head towards the end of 2026 Read the full article: https://orchardlending.com.au/2026/11/01/australias-housing-downturn-is-accelerating-that-doesnt-yet-make-it-a-housing-crisis/ The Orchard View | Property • Finance • Economy Presented by Kevin Orchard, Orchard Lending. https://orchardlending.com.au/

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