DIARY OF A MARKET MANIAC
By Diary of a market maniac
Categories: Business, Investing
Welcome to the only casino with no house. Every week, Marcus and Jay open up the prediction markets, where regular people trade on baseball games, elections, Bitcoin, and the Nobel Peace Prize, sometimes all before lunch. They ask what the crowd believes, then ask the only question that matters: is the crowd drunk? Serious about the money, funny about everything else. Not financial advice. Just a diary.
6 episodes indexed on PodSearch.
Recent episodes
- THE CROWD CALLED THE WAVE, THEN MISSISSIPPI BROKE ITS BRAIN (ep 5)
The crowd called the wave and then immediately lost its mind in Mississippi. Marcus and Jay grade last week's predictions in public, tour a seven-seat Senate flip, a Brewers championship, a Fed hold, and a Senate race separated by forty-three votes that the market priced like a coronation, all…
- Episode 4: THE CROWD GOES ALL IN
Marcus and Jay grade their own homework in public, and it is not pretty: both of them lost a soccer bet to a draw, both World Series predictions are on life support, and the midterms are six days away from grading them for real. Meanwhile the crowd went all in, trading more than fourteen billion…
- THE MARKET’S FEVER DREAM (eps 3)
This week the diary goes full fever dream: Marcus and Jay tour the strangest bets on planet Earth — a halftime show priced at 91%, a documentary crashing the Oscar race, a 1-cent market on the end times with $52 million on it, and a lake town favored over Manchester United. Plus the midterms diary…
- THE CROWD GOT HUMBLED (eps 2)
The Nobel Peace Prize went to someone the thirty-two-million-dollar market never saw coming, the ninety-four percent tennis coronation lost in straight sets, and the Dodgers forgot how to win. Marcus and Jay open the diary on the week the crowd got humbled — plus the midterms countdown, Bitcoin's…
- The Market Already Voted (Midterms Bonus) — Diary of a Market Maniac
The midterms are 26 days out and the prediction markets have basically already voted: Democrats at 93% for the House, 64% for the Senate. Marcus and Jay break down the races moving the needle, the times the crowd was dead wrong (2016, Brexit), the World Series happening RIGHT NOW, and a Fed market…
- The Crowd Is Drunk (Welcome to the Show)
Welcome to the show. Marcus and Jay open up the prediction markets for the first time — what they actually are, the wildest markets on the board this week, and how to read the crowd without getting burned. Spoiler: the crowd is drunk. Serious about the money, funny about everything else. Not…
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