The Trade Thesis
By Thetradethesis
Categories: Business, Investing
The Trade Thesis — AI-powered stock market analysis, trade ideas, and investing insights. New episodes every weekday — Deep Dive episodes Monday, Wednesday & Friday, and Market Close recaps every weekday after the close. Educational content, not financial advice. Follow The Trade Thesis everywhere: • YouTube: @TheTradeThesis365 • Instagram: @thetradethesis365 • X: @TradeThesis365 • LinkedIn: linkedin.com/company/thetradethesis • Rumble: TheTradeThesis • Podcast: "The Trade Thesis" on Spotify, Apple Podcasts & Amazon Music $SPY $QQQ $DIA $NVDA $AAPL $MSFT $AMZN $GOOGL $META $TSLA $SPCX $PLTR
33 episodes indexed on PodSearch.
Recent episodes
- Market Close: $FCUV +136%: $NPCE -37%, $NVDA in Chip Rout | The Trade Thesis Ep. 33
Tickers covered: $FCUV $NPCE $NVDA $AMD $AVGO $DELL $COHR $FN $CSCO $AMAT $SLSN $VTSI $KLC $GRDX $SPY $QQQ $DIAMarket Close — Friday, November 13, 2026: Chip rout, day two. The Nasdaq fell -1.69% to 24,937.39 and the S&P 500 fell -1.00% to 7,516.34 while the Dow held to -0.25%, as the chip complex…
- Cash Drag Explained: How 20% Idle Cash Costs You $87,000 Over 30 Years — Deep Dive
Tickers covered: $SPY $QQQ $CSCO $AMATCash drag explained: how uninvested cash quietly costs you thousands — and how to measure it in 30 seconds. If cash drag is the hidden cost you have never calculated, this deep dive shows the formula (cash weight times the return gap), why a 20% cash position…
- Market Close: $POAS +234%: $CDNL -62%, $NVDA CEO Resigns | The Trade Thesis Ep. 31
Market Close — Thursday, November 12, 2026: The day Nvidia lost its founder. Jensen Huang resigned as CEO before the bell; $NVDA opened -13% and recovered to close at $166.19 (-4.34%) as CFO Colette Kress stepped in as interim CEO. Indexes finished modestly lower (S&P 500 ~-0.3%, Nasdaq ~-0.5%…
- Company Deep Dive: Palantir Technologies (PLTR) — Bull Case, Bear Case & Price Targets
Tickers covered: $PLTR $SPYPalantir Technologies ($PLTR) company deep dive: revenue up 96% to $2.31B in Q3 2026, U.S. commercial revenue up 148% to $984M and passing U.S. government revenue for the first time — yet the stock fell after a beat-and-raise quarter. Alex and Jordan break down the…
- Market Close: $RETO +62%: $STAK -62%, $CRWV +25% Ignites Chips | The Trade Thesis Ep. 29
Tickers covered: $RETO $STAK $CRWV $MU $DELL $AMD $INTC $NVDA $OMH $CORD $GENK $SPY $QQQ $DIAMarket Close: $RETO +62%: $STAK -62%, $CRWV +25% Ignites Chips | The Trade Thesis Ep. 29A chip-led relief rally on Veterans Day. Today, Wednesday November 11, 2026: the Nasdaq Composite jumped 2.06% to…
- Bid-Ask Spreads Explained: Why You Lose $1,000 the Second You Buy
Tickers covered: $SPY $QQQ $CRWV $CEG $SE $TDGBid-ask spreads explained: why you can lose $1,000 the second you buy, before a stock moves at all. Alex and Jordan teach the hidden cost of commission-free trading — what the bid, the ask and the midpoint really are, how to work out any spread as a…
- Market Close: $PEPG +93%: $IHRT -65%, $ANT Prices at $70-$78 | The Trade Thesis Ep. 27
Tickers covered: $PEPG $IHRT $ANT $AAON $LCID $NVDA $APPS $CRWV $SPY $QQQ $DIAA give-back day with three huge stories. Today, Tuesday November 10, 2026: the S&P 500 fell 0.37% to 7,522.11, the Nasdaq fell 0.33% to 25,169.23, and the Dow fell 0.46% to 52,151.19 — a modest slice back after Monday's…
- Company Deep Dive: Anthropic (ANT) IPO Preview — Bull Case, Bear Case & What to Watch at Launch
Tickers covered: $ANT $NVDA $GOOGL $AMZN $META $MSFTAnthropic (ANT) IPO preview: the roadshow window opens today, November 10, but the price range is still blank on EDGAR — and the $70-$80 range reported late November 9 was retracted by Anthropic itself as inaccurate. Alex and Jordan work through…
- Market Close: $ZURA -70%: $CKX +54% on $1B Bet, $NVDA Slumps | The Trade Thesis Ep. 25
Tickers covered: $SPY $QQQ $DIA $ZURA $CKX $NVDA $AMD $AVGO $CEG $NRG $TLS $GFR $DCTH $IONS $ONCO $FTH $KKR $TSLA $AMZN $MSFT $CRWV $SOXXMarket Close: $ZURA -70%: $CKX +54% on $1B Bet, $NVDA Slumps | The Trade Thesis Ep. 25Wall Street's best day since April — and a 70% crash in the middle of it…
- Expense Ratio Explained: How a 1% Fee Costs You $245,000 — Deep Dive
Tickers covered: $SPY $VOO $IVV $QQQ $CEG $KKR $OXYExpense ratio explained: what is an expense ratio, how the fee is taken daily inside a fund, and how a 1% fee can cost $245,000 over 30 years. Alex and Jordan walk through a fictional $100,000 illustrative example at 8% gross — $1,006,266 with no…
- The Week Ahead: CPI Tests the Correction — Earnings, Events & What to Watch
Tickers covered: $CRWV $CSCO $AMAT $CEG $OXY $TTWO $PLUG $SPY $QQQ $ANT $NBISThe Week Ahead: CPI Tests the Correction — Earnings, Events & What to Watch | The Trade Thesis Ep. 23For the week of Monday, November 9 through Friday, November 13, 2026. The Nasdaq starts the week in correction…
- Market Close: $GOGO +71.5%: $BDSX -57%, $FROG +35%, $NET Hot | The Trade Thesis Ep. 22
Tickers covered: $GOGO $BDSX $FROG $NET $DKNG $MRNA $SPY $QQQ $DIA $PRAA $KRT $NRDS $IRTCMarket Close: $GOGO +71.5%: $BDSX -57%, $FROG +35%, $NET Hot | The Trade Thesis Ep. 22Friday, November 6, 2026 — a selective relief bounce after Thursday's worst rout in 19 months. The S&P 500 rose 0.31% to…
- Capital Gains Tax on Stocks Explained: Hold Past One Year, Keep $900 More of a $10,000 Gain — Deep Dive
Tickers covered: $SPY $VOO $IVV $ABNB $NETCapital gains tax on stocks explained — the exact question investors search, answered with the real 2026 federal numbers. One extra day across the one-year line can cut the tax on a $10,000 gain from $2,400 to $1,500 — and in the right year, to $0. Alex…
- Market Close: $AEHL +177%: $VCYT -54%, $APP +31%, $NVDA in Chip Rout | The Trade Thesis Ep. 20
Tickers covered: $AEHL $VCYT $MNTN $APP $NVDA $SPY $QQQ $DIA $MU $AMD $SNDK $QCOM $TSLA $SPCX $META $MSFT $AAPL $AMZN $DNUT $WRBY $AMTX $CDLR $TDUPMarket Close: $AEHL +177%: $VCYT -54%, $APP +31%, $NVDA in Chip Rout | The Trade Thesis Ep. 20Thursday, November 5, 2026 — one day after the Dow's best…
- Company Deep Dive: SpaceX (SPCX) — Bull Case, Bear Case & Price Targets
Tickers covered: $SPCX $APP $QCOM $ARM $SPY $QQQSpaceX ($SPCX) reported third-quarter 2026 earnings on October 20 — revenue of $14.58B rose 161% and beat the roughly $12.7–13.0B consensus, EPS of $0.35 beat the ~$0.10–0.13 consensus, and net income swung to $4.4B from a $1.05B loss. Yet the stock…
- Market Close: $CRCT +49%: $NRIX Crashes as Sanofi Kills Deal, $CVS Falls on a Beat | The Trade Thesis Ep. 18
Tickers covered: $SPY $QQQ $DIA $CRCT $CRIS $DUOL $NRIX $DOX $CVS $AMD $NVDA $UBER $MCD $FIS $TMUS $SNYMarket Close — Wednesday, November 4, 2026 | The Trade Thesis Ep. 18The Dow surged about 3.1% — more than 1,600 points, its best post-midterm election day since 1982 — after Democrats swept both…
- Earnings Breakdown: $AMD — Data Center Nearly Doubles, $17B Guide
Tickers covered: $AMD $ANET $SMCI $AMGN $ETN $PFE $SHOP $SWKS $SPY $QQQAMD ($AMD) reported third-quarter 2026 earnings after the close on Tuesday, November 3 — and this Earnings Hero episode breaks down the full report: record revenue of $13.377B beat the $13.09B consensus, adjusted EPS of $2.09…
- $SUPN -32%: $AEHR +26%, $SHOP Crashes on First Miss | The Trade Thesis Ep. 16
Tickers covered: $SUPN $AEHR $SHOP $SPY $QQQ $DIA $AAPL $PLTR $NVDA $MU $MSFT $AMZN $PFE $DD $GPK $IBTA $RIOT $STVN $INDV $AMD $UBER $MCD $NVO$SUPN -32%: $AEHR +26%, $SHOP Crashes on First Miss | The Trade Thesis Ep. 16Market Close for Tuesday, November 3, 2026 — Election Day: the S&P 500 ($SPY)…
- Earnings Breakdown: $AAPL — Record $114.5B Quarter, Stock Fell Anyway
Tickers covered: $AAPL $PLTR $MAR $EL $IDXX $VRTX $FOX $FOXA $SPY $QQQApple (Name $AAPL) reported a record fiscal fourth quarter on Monday, November 2: revenue of $114.48 billion beat the $113.4 billion consensus and EPS of $2.10 beat the $1.99 consensus — yet the stock fell. This Earnings Hero…
- $INO +215%: $LITE -19% on $115B $MRVL Deal, $AAPL Before Earnings | The Trade Thesis Ep. 14
Tickers covered: $INO $EVGO $LITE $MRVL $ORCL $AAPL $PLTR $AMZN $TSLA $MSFT $MU $AMD $EL $XOM $SPY $QQQ $DIA$INO +215%: $LITE -19% on $115B $MRVL Deal, $AAPL Before Earnings | The Trade Thesis Ep. 14Market Close for Monday, November 2, 2026 — the day before the midterm elections. The morning…
- Election Special: Bullish or Bearish? How Elections Move the Market — Deep Dive | The Trade Thesis Ep. 13
Tickers covered: $SPY $QQQ $DIA $IWMElection Special: Bullish or Bearish? How Elections Move the Market — Deep Dive | The Trade Thesis Ep. 13The Nasdaq ($QQQ) just lost 5.3% in October — its worst month since March 2025 — and finished 7.8% below its October 6 record. The S&P 500 ($SPY) closed…
- $REGN Soars, $INTC and $RDDT Crash as AI Fears Hit | The Trade Thesis Ep. 12
Tickers covered: $SPY $QQQ $DIA $INTC $RDDT $REGN $AMZN $NVDA $LLY $MA $MDLZ $TWLO $GOOGL $META $MSFTMarket Close: $INTC Crashes 29%, $RDDT Worst Day Ever, $REGN Soars 13% | The Trade Thesis Ep. 12Friday, October 30, 2026 — Wall Street's worst day since June. The Nasdaq fell more than 3.5%, the…
- ETFs and Index Investing: How One Basket Can Replace Stock Picking — Deep Dive
ETFs and Index Investing: How One Basket Can Replace Stock Picking — Deep Dive | The Trade Thesis Ep. 11You do not need to find the needle if you can own the haystack — cheaply, and calmly. Alex and Jordan explain what an index really is, how an ETF turns it into a tradable fund (creation and…
- Market Close: Alphabet Crashes, ServiceNow's Worst Day Ever, and ADT Soars on a Buyout
Thursday, October 29, 2026 Market Close: S&P 500 -0.5%, Nasdaq -1.5%, Dow -0.4%, Russell 2000 +0.7%. Alphabet (GOOGL) -12.6% on a revenue miss, slowing search growth, record $51.4B capex and -$9.1B free cash flow; Microsoft Azure +48% with $18.6B free cash flow. Top riser: ADT +33.2% on Thrive…
- Market Close: Fed Holds, Oracle Soars on $225B Bet, and F5 Crashes | The Trade Thesis Ep. 9
Market Close — Wednesday, October 28, 2026. The Fed held rates at 3.75%–4.00% with dissents and no clear December signal: S&P 500 +0.2%, Nasdaq +0.1%, Dow +122 points (+0.2%). The 10-year yield rose to 5.024% and WTI crude climbed 2.8% to $102.72.Top riser: Vertiv (VRT) +13.9% — Q3 sales +61% to…
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